It represents the first of two volumes of the fourth national climate assessment, mandated by the global change research act of 1990. Abrupt climate change 2 in this report, as an alternative to the scenarios of gradual climatic warming that are so common, we outline an abrupt climate change scenario patterned after the 100year event that occurred about 8,200 years ago. Climate change is a longterm trend, but with wise planning and risk mitigation now, we can reduce adverse impacts downrange. This knowledge will help us to prepare for and adapt to the effects of climate change. United states army war college the center for climate. The ef fects of a changing climate are a national security. Climatechange science will continue to help society make. Congress asked the department of defense dod to provide a report on vulnerabilities to military installations and combatant commander requirements resulting from climate change over the next 20 years.
Climate change has historically been a controversial topic, and former president barack obama was sharply criticized for addressing it during his. This brief explores how this relationship exposes china to climate. The pentagon released a congressionally mandated report pdf that warns flooding, drought and wildfires and other effects of climate change puts u. Staff sgt mary l smithus deptpa r e u t e r s i n n e w y o r k. The ipcc predicts that climate change will result in rise in sea level a between 0. It is in this context that dod is releasing a climate change adaptation roadmap. Climate change refers to a significant change in weather patterns, as observed over decades or longer time p\. Planning handbook on climate change installation adaptation and resilience in january. An 11page summary of the new national defense strategy makes no mention of global warming or climate change. So dramatic are the reports scenarios, watson said, that they may prove vital in the us elections. Climate change and national security council on foreign relations. Decoupling chinas soy imports from deforestation driven carbon emissions in brazil. The working group i contribution to the ipcc fifth assessment report wgi ar5 provides a comprehensive assessment of the physical science basis of climate change, drawing on the scientific literature accepted for publication up to 15 march 20.
June 2010 j9921 9climate change is a geographic problem scientists have long classi. The pentagon released a short report this week detailing how a changing climate is a national security threat and makes the militarys job around the world harder. The effect of climate change on water resources and. The national center for atmospheric research ncar is publishing climate change model output data in a gis format. Climate change, which is largely a result of burning fossil fuels, is already affecting the earths temperature, precipitation, and hydrological cycles. You need to be literate enough about the nature of the debate and the underly ing science to. Dod releases report on security implications of climate change. Key sources of information on climate change are synthesised by the successive reports of the intergovernmental panel on climate change ipcc created by the united nations and the world meteorological organization in 1988.
The effect of climate change on water resources and programs introduction the goal of this module is to educate water program managers, as well as the general public, on the expected effects of climate change on water resources and water programs. Unlike some in the trump administration, defense secretary jim mattis believes climate change is real and that it poses a threat to international security, according to a us media report. This paper presents a detailed analysis of a composite climate vulnerability index cvi to examine and compare climate change vulnerability and its dimensions adaptive capacity, sensitivity and exposure. Army, and the army is therefore the focus of the analysis and recommendations. The reality of humancaused climate change is no longer a matter of debate. The balance of scientific research since the ipcc report. The report is the latest in a series of studies highlighting the national security risks of climate change. Its impacts and challenges according to the 20 intergovernmental panel on climate changes ipcc fifth assessment report.
References national research council, 2010a, advancing the science of climate change national research council, 2010b, limiting the magnitude of climate change national research council, 2010c, adapting to the impacts of climate change national research council, 2011d, informing an effective response to climate change national research council, 2010e, ocean acidification. Our first step in planning for these challenges is to identify the effects of climate change on the department with tangible and. Understanding and responding to climate change t here is a growing concern about global warming and the impact it will have on people and the ecosystems on which they depend. Pentagon erases climate change from the national defense.
Pdf climate change a changing climate for prediction. Given that, the studys starting point is the implications of climate change for the u. That report was delivered to congress yesterday, prosaicallytitled report on effects of. The document makes no mention of climate, warming, planet, sea levels or even temperature.
The pentagon released a congressionally mandated report pdf that warns flooding, drought and wildfires and other effects of climate change. Pentagon signals security risks of climate change the. Climate change over the next 20 years could result in a global catastrophe costing millions of lives in wars and natural disasters a secret report, suppressed by us defence chiefs and obtained. The dod does not report fuel consumption information to congress in its annual. By john conger in the fiscal year 2018 national defense authorization act, the u. The intergovernmental panel on climate change ipcc assessment in 2007, which involved a large number of the most eminent climate change scientists in the world, highlighted the severe climate effects that could result from a business as usual approach to global ghg emissions. An abrupt climate change scenario and its implications for united. Climate change is real and a national security issue. Trends and implications of climate change for national.
In communities across the nation, climate change is harming our health now. Democratic frontrunner john kerry is known to accept climate change as a real problem. The series begins with an overview report which serves as a summary and introduction to the series and consists of eight briefs covering climate science and impacts, adaptation, technological solutions, business solutions, international action, u. National security implications of climate change united states. But the pentagons characterization of it as a presentday threat demanding immediate. It seems obvious that cutting the use of fossil fuels would be worthwhile. The national climate assessment summarizes the impacts of climate change on the united states, now and in the future. This video highlights the pentagons focus on climate change as the military examines potential risks, strategic responses, and impacts of climate change on future military and humanitarian missions. Key messages on human rights and climate change climate change impacts, directly and indirectly, an array of internationally guaranteed human rights. Report on effects of a changing climate to the department. A pentagon report has highlighted military bases vulnerability to the effects of climate change. Agriculture and climate change are inextricably linkedcrop yield, biodiversity, and water use, as well as soil health are directly affected by a changing climate. Variability may be due to natural internal processes within the climate system, or to variations in natural or anthropogenic humandriven external forcing.
Physical drivers of climate change climate science. Chapter 1 in the ipcc fourth assessment report ar4 le treut et al. States dutybearers have an affirmative obligation to take effective measures to prevent and redress these climate impacts, and therefore, to mitigate climate change, and to ensure. The last section explains ways to approach the climate change problem. In reading this chapter, it needs to be borne in mind. Brazil is a leading source of soy for global markets, and china is brazils biggest customer. The climate change agenda has risen substantially in global and national importance and the topic has thus been given a dedicated chapter in this 2. The basic science behind climate change is now accepted by the overwhelming majority of the scientific community and most. This abrupt change scenario is characterized by the following conditions. Sensitivity analysis of a climate vulnerability index a case study from indian watershed development programmes. An abrupt climate change scenario and its implications for. In this report, as an alternative to the scenarios of gradual climatic warming that are so common, we outline an abrupt climate change scenario patterned after. The 2007 report from the intergovernmental panel on climate change ipcc, the leading expert. This report responds to the congressional request to the department of defense to identify the most serious and likely climaterelated security.
Climate change threatens half of us bases worldwide. Pentagon chief says climate change threatens security. Pdf importance health is inextricably linked to climate change. This report is an authoritative assessment of the science of climate change, with a focus on the united states. Therefore the statistical tools to integrate social, economic and environmental. The report finds that climate change is a security risk, pentagon officials said, because it degrades living conditions, human security and the ability of governments to meet the basic needs of. Report on effects of a changing climate to the department of defense. Climate change unfccc in montreal, canada, 2005, parties agreed to initiate the dialogue on longterm cooperative action to address climate change by enhancing implementation of the convention.
This report responds to the request by the senate committee on appropriations for information on the national security implications of climate change made in the report to accompany h. The pentagon calls climate change a national security. Based on the evidence, more than 97 percent of climate scientists have concluded that humancaused climate change is happening. The effects and impacts of climate change are already being seen across the country and globe, and are expected to conti. Finally, the author discusses a warmer future, explaining the future consequences of global warming and the tipping point. This is the amount of climate change as measured by the change in. Scenario from a pentagoncommissioned report title page of futurist study commissioned by the pentagons office of net assessment, finalized in october 2003 and leaked via media on february 22, 2004. Climate change a changing climate for prediction article pdf available in science 3175835. Pentagon fuel use, climate change, and the costs of war. The challenges of climate change children on the front line. In 2014, the pentagon released a climate change adaptation roadmap that declared climate change will affect the department of defenses ability to. The consequences for some nations of the climate change are unbelievable.
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